Enhanced risk of storms today, moderate risk tomorrow; Be prepared

Published 11:27 am Tuesday, April 4, 2017


Covington County EMA Director Susan Harris sent out an update on the expected weather tonight and tomorrow.

Here’s what you need to know:


*** Up To Enhanced Risk Of Severe Storms Late Tonight ***

*** Up To Moderate Risk Of Severe Storms Wednesday ***


Another powerful low pressure system will bring strong to severe storms to the area late tonight into Wednesday.  The atmosphere will likely be very unstable and all modes of severe weather are possible.

  • WHAT?– Isolated to scattered severe storms are expected to develop late tonight with scattered to numerous severe storms on Wednesday.  The severe storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, large hail, and isolated tornadoes.  See the attached graphics depicting the severe weather risk areas late tonight into Wednesday.  The storms will be capable of locally heavy rainfall roughly along and east of I-65.  An Enhanced Flood Risk exists mainly for the western Florida panhandle and Baldwin county where rainfall amounts up to 1.5 inches with locally higher amounts are expected, and heavy rainfall recently occurred on Monday.  A Limited Risk of Flooding is otherwise in effect for generally along and east of I-65.
  • WHERE?– The entire forecast area may see impacts.  For tonight, an Enhanced Risk of severe storms exists for interior southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama, with a Slight Risk for nearly all remaining areas.  For Wednesday, a Moderate Risk of severe storms is in place for much of the eastern portion of the area, with an Enhanced to Slight Risk of severe storms for much of the remaining parts of the area.
  • WHEN?– There are some uncertainties regarding timing, but the latest thinking follows.  The severe weather threat begins after midnight tonight as storms are expected to develop near the coast and spread inland with increasing coverage.  The severe weather threat is expected to be the greatest Wednesday morning as additional storms either spread into the area from the west or develop across the area.  The severe weather threat tapers off by about midday, possibly continuing into the early afternoon hours, as the severe storms move east of the area.