Southern vs. Alabama State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 10

Published 7:13 pm Sunday, February 9, 2025

Monday’s game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Southern Jaguars (15-8, 10-0 SWAC) matching up with the Alabama State Hornets (9-14, 5-5 SWAC) at 7:00 PM (on February 10). Our computer prediction projects a 75-71 win for Southern, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Southern. The total is listed at 141.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Montgomery, Alabama
  • Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
  • Line: Southern -3.5
  • Point total: 141.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Southern -160, Alabama State +132

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Southern vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Southern 75, Alabama State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

  • Pick ATS: Alabama State (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Southern has put together a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Alabama State is 6-15-0. The Jaguars have gone over the point total in eight games, while Hornets games have gone over 10 times. The teams average 150.8 points per game, 9.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Southern is 5-5 against the spread and 10-0 overall over its past 10 games, while Alabama State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Southern Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars average 76.6 points per game (113th in college basketball) while allowing 69.3 per outing (102nd in college basketball). They have a +169 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.3 points per game.
  • Southern is 65th in the nation at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 30 its opponents average.
  • Southern connects on 7 three-pointers per game (254th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.7 on average.
  • The Jaguars average 95 points per 100 possessions on offense (201st in college basketball), and give up 85.9 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
  • Southern has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (264th in college basketball play), 2.9 fewer than the 15.1 it forces on average (11th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

  • The Hornets have been outscored by 2.6 points per game (posting 74.2 points per game, 189th in college basketball, while giving up 76.8 per outing, 312th in college basketball) and have a -60 scoring differential.
  • Alabama State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.5 boards. It collects 31 rebounds per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.5.
  • Alabama State hits 9 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (252nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.2 its opponents make, shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc.
  • Alabama State has committed three fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 11.8 (155th in college basketball).

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