Monday’s contest between the Alabama State Hornets (11-14, 7-5 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-22, 1-11 SWAC) at Harrison HPER Complex has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 78-65 and heavily favors Alabama State to come out on top. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on February 17.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the point spread (18.5) against Alabama State. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 138.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Itta Bena, Mississippi
• Venue: Harrison HPER Complex
• Line: Alabama State -18.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -3448, Mississippi Valley State +1280

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 78, Mississippi Valley State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+18.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Alabama State’s record against the spread so far this season is 8-15-0, while Mississippi Valley State’s is 9-14-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 11-12-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams average 128.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State has a 2-8 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the last 10 contests. Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 games.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 1.9 points per game with a -47 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.5 points per game (175th in college basketball) and allow 76.4 per contest (305th in college basketball).
• Alabama State ranks 203rd in the country at 31.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 fewer than the 36.8 its opponents average.
• Alabama State makes 9.1 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• The Hornets average 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (254th in college basketball), and allow 95.5 points per 100 possessions (258th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle by three turnovers per game, committing 8.8 (10th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.8 (147th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils’ -719 scoring differential (being outscored by 28.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 53.8 points per game (364th in college basketball) while giving up 82.5 per contest (357th in college basketball).
• The 24.4 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in the nation, 9.1 fewer than the 33.5 its opponents pull down.
• Mississippi Valley State makes 4 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball), five fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 27.2% from deep (362nd in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 37.8%.
• Mississippi Valley State loses the turnover battle by 5.2 per game, committing 15.4 (362nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.2.

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