Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 5:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) will try to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena as just 1.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Heat (25-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 45.5% of the time, 1.9% less often than the Hawks (27-30-0) this season.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as the underdog (59.5%).
  • Atlanta and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 57.9% of the time this season (33 out of 57). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (30 out of 55).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season while the Hawks have a .447 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 110.1 points per game on offense, the Heat rank 24th in the NBA. Defensively, they cede 110.9 points per contest, which ranks eighth in the league.
  • Miami is 17th in the NBA with 44.1 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 24th with 45.6 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Heat are dishing out 26.1 assists per game, which ranks them 16th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Miami ranks fifth-best in the NBA by averaging only 12.6 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranks 24th in the league (12.5 per contest).
  • With 13.9 treys per game, the Heat are eighth in the NBA. They own a 35.9% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 15th in the league.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are seventh in the NBA offensively (117 points scored per game) and third-worst defensively (119.6 points conceded).
  • At 45 rebounds per game and 44.7 rebounds allowed, Atlanta is 11th and 20th in the NBA, respectively.
  • The Hawks are second-best in the league in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
  • Atlanta is the fifth-worst squad in the NBA in turnovers per game (15) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • Beyond the arc, the Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.1). They are 20th in 3-point percentage at 35%.

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