NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 3:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point favorites as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

For the best bets you can place on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • The 24.2 points Trae Young has scored per game this season is 4.3 fewer than his prop total set for Monday (28.5).
  • So far this season, Young is 27-for-53 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
  • The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring squad (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth in points conceded (110.9 per game).
  • When Atlanta puts up more than 110.9 points, its record is 22-18.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • Tyler Herro’s 24.2 points per game are 2.3 fewer than Monday’s over/under.
  • Herro has had a points prop in 53 games this season, and has hit the over 29 times.
  • Miami is the NBA’s 24th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th-ranked on defense (119.6 conceded).
  • Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.

Bet on Tyler Herro Props with BetMGM

Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Atlanta has 27 wins in 57 games against the spread this year.
  • Miami has 25 wins in 55 games against the spread this year.
  • As 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15 against the spread.
  • The Heat have an ATS record of 10-15 as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • The Hawks and their opponents have gone over 230.5 combined points in 36 of 57 games this season.
  • The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 230.5 points in 21 of 55 games this season.
  • Atlanta has an average point total of 234.7 in its contests this year, 4.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • Miami’s games this season have had an average of 219.2 points, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s total.
  • The Hawks score the seventh-most points in the NBA this season, while the Heat’s offense puts up the 27th-most.
  • This matchup features the NBA’s third-ranked (Heat) and 29th-ranked (Hawks) scoring defenses.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • The Hawks have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
  • The Heat have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (33.3%) in those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 9-10, a 47.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This year, Miami has won six of 21 games when listed as at least +100 or better on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.

Bet on this game’s moneyline with BetMGM

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