Tuesday’s contest that pits the Troy Trojans (18-10, 11-5 Sun Belt) against the Texas State Bobcats (15-14, 8-8 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 73-70 in favor of Troy. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on February 25.

According to our computer prediction, Texas State is projected to cover the spread (2.5) against Troy. The two teams are projected to exceed the 141.5 total.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Texas State +108

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Texas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy has gone 15-11-0 against the spread, while Texas State’s ATS record this season is 13-14-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 10-16-0 and the Bobcats are 16-11-0. The two teams average 149.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Troy has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Texas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.7 points per game (scoring 73.1 points per game to rank 211th in college basketball while giving up 65.4 per contest to rank 25th in college basketball) and have a +214 scoring differential overall.
• Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It is pulling down 34.8 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.7 per contest.
• Troy connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) at a 30.4% rate (341st in college basketball), compared to the 7 its opponents make while shooting 33.1% from deep.
• The Trojans rank 228th in college basketball by averaging 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 15th in college basketball, allowing 84.2 points per 100 possessions.
• Troy and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 13.4 per game (336th in college basketball) and force 13.2 (50th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats have a +92 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.2 points per game. They’re putting up 76.1 points per game, 120th in college basketball, and are giving up 72.9 per outing to rank 212th in college basketball.
• Texas State wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.4 boards. It collects 33.5 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.1.
• Texas State hits 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball) while shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc (56th in college basketball). It is making 1.4 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.5 per game at 37.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.2 turnovers per game (201st in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (199th in college basketball).

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