Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 7:20 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Miami Heat (26-30) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET. The Heat are 1.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Hawks’ .483 ATS win percentage (28-30-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat’s .446 mark (25-31-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 59.5% of the time. That’s more often than Miami covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (50%).
  • Miami and its opponents have exceeded the over/under 53.6% of the time this season (30 out of 56). That’s less often than Atlanta and its opponents have (33 out of 58).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Heat are posting 109.7 points per game (24th-ranked in league). They are ceding 110.7 points per contest at the other end (seventh-ranked).
  • Miami is grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game (17th-ranked in league). It is allowing 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • The Heat are putting up 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • With 12.7 turnovers per game, Miami is sixth in the NBA. It forces 12.6 turnovers per contest, which ranks 23rd in the league.
  • The Heat are draining 13.8 three-pointers per game (11th-ranked in league). They sport a 35.6% shooting percentage (17th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA on offense (116.7 points scored per game) and fourth-worst defensively (119 points conceded).
  • On the glass, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45.1 per game). It is 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game).
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the league in committing them (15 per game). However it is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are 15th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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