Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 28

Published 7:09 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Friday’s game between the Troy Trojans (19-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) and Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10-20, 5-12 Sun Belt) squaring off at Reed Green Coliseum has a projected final score of 76-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on February 28.

According to our computer prediction, Southern Miss projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Troy. The over/under has been set at 142.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
  • Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
  • Line: Troy -8.5
  • Point total: 142.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -410, Southern Miss +315

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 76, Southern Miss 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss

  • Pick ATS: Southern Miss (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (142.5)

Troy’s record against the spread so far this season is 16-11-0, while Southern Miss’ is 15-13-0. The Trojans are 11-16-0 and the Golden Eagles are 12-16-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams average 145.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Troy has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Southern Miss has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans average 73.1 points per game (210th in college basketball) while giving up 65.6 per contest (26th in college basketball). They have a +219 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.5 points per game.
  • Troy is 47th in the country at 34.9 rebounds per game. That’s 6.2 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
  • Troy knocks down 7.8 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
  • The Trojans’ 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 224th in college basketball, and the 84.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 15th in college basketball.
  • Troy forces 13.2 turnovers per game (48th in college basketball) while committing 13.3 (335th in college basketball play).

Southern Miss Performance Insights

  • The Golden Eagles have been outscored by 4.4 points per game (posting 72.1 points per game, 242nd in college basketball, while giving up 76.5 per contest, 306th in college basketball) and have a -132 scoring differential.
  • The 32.8 rebounds per game Southern Miss accumulates rank 139th in college basketball. Their opponents collect 33.5.
  • Southern Miss connects on 6.6 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball) at a 30.7% rate (331st in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 per contest its opponents make, shooting 32.7% from beyond the arc.
  • Southern Miss has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 13.5 (337th in college basketball) while forcing 11.0 (221st in college basketball).

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