Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 5:16 am Friday, February 28, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) are heavily favored (by 12.5 points) to build on a three-game road win streak when they visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (242.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Thunder’s .603 ATS win percentage (35-23-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Hawks’ .475 mark (28-31-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Oklahoma City (12-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 12.5 points or more this season (60%) than Atlanta (1-0) does as a 12.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2024-25, Oklahoma City does it more often (58.6% of the time) than Atlanta (57.6%).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Hawks are 17-22, while the Thunder are 45-10 as moneyline favorites.

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • Things are clicking for the Thunder, who are scoring 118.6 points per game (fourth-best in NBA) and giving up 106 points per contest (second-best).
  • Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.7 boards per game (13th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • The Thunder are averaging 26.5 assists per game, which ranks them 13th in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Oklahoma City has been getting things done when it comes to turnovers this year, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.2) and best in forced turnovers per contest (17.2).
  • So far this season, the Thunder are sinking 14 threes per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 36.1% (13th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA on offense (116.6 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (119.2 points conceded).
  • On the glass, Atlanta is 11th in the NBA in rebounds (44.9 per game). It is 17th in rebounds conceded (44.5 per game).
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the league.
  • Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in turnovers per game (15) and second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • Beyond the arc, the Hawks are 16th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.1). They are 19th in 3-point percentage at 34.9%.

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